Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 1.378055 1.590483 1.824263 2.100570 2.418195 2.771876 3.195627
2025-04-27 1.122627 1.409998 1.753138 2.192867 2.741370 3.403074 4.262325
2025-05-04 0.925560 1.251397 1.669099 2.243385 3.012352 4.006658 5.390951
2025-05-11 0.768338 1.109560 1.575605 2.257847 3.230879 4.569061 6.551001
2025-05-18 0.627214 0.961467 1.444947 2.194033 3.325049 4.969399 7.544382
2025-05-25 0.507787 0.822042 1.301034 2.082605 3.325561 5.226386 8.357742
2025-06-01 0.436456 0.742831 1.232773 2.071039 3.469007 5.707965 9.571036
2025-06-08 0.373322 0.665680 1.154546 2.028668 3.552142 6.098880 10.685519
2025-06-15 0.347715 0.647322 1.169401 2.141705 3.906649 6.975826 12.726085
2025-06-22 0.314372 0.609608 1.144531 2.179840 4.132733 7.657549 14.512035
2025-06-29 0.278162 0.560740 1.092076 2.158763 4.245589 8.147555 16.008239
2025-07-06 0.237592 0.497153 1.002900 2.054491 4.184986 8.305658 16.892409
2025-07-13 0.219819 0.477633 0.998367 2.120189 4.474556 9.186129 19.344385
2025-07-20 0.207602 0.467844 1.012080 2.225388 4.859967 10.308555 22.448083
2025-07-27 0.192271 0.448953 1.004204 2.283991 5.156375 11.289397 25.396263
2025-08-03 0.175476 0.424118 0.979932 2.303107 5.369692 12.123006 28.143580
2025-08-10 0.154853 0.387118 0.923260 2.240567 5.390681 12.540405 30.019631
2025-08-17 0.133770 0.345589 0.850056 2.128234 5.279297 12.643895 31.182556
2025-08-24 0.121537 0.324017 0.820864 2.117263 5.407548 13.315598 33.785134
2025-08-31 0.108976 0.299603 0.781216 2.074448 5.451185 13.791396 35.974475
2025-09-07 0.105819 0.299503 0.802516 2.190314 5.912319 15.344766 41.084128
2025-09-14 0.099161 0.288836 0.795037 2.229491 6.179630 16.447254 45.182314
2025-09-21 0.090510 0.271223 0.766633 2.208048 6.282085 17.139525 48.290424